Preview: $POST FQ1 - Strong Organic Sales Growth

Posted 2/01/2023 Post Foods Odyssey Earnings

Preview: $POST FQ1 - Strong Organic Sales Growth

Using our updated Odyssey2 panel, our data science team has analyzed 2023 FQ1 sales of $POST brands to arrive at a preview of Post Food's upcoming earnings call.


DecaData’s data panel showed a significant acceleration of ~370 bps in Organic Sales YoY for Post Holdings’ Consumer Brands segment, for 2023 FQ1 as compared to 2022 FQ4. We observed a mild deceleration of ~50 bps in Pricing YoY, which was more than offset by a resurgence in the pace of Volume YoY by ~420 bps.

The performance of Volume YoY appeared very strong during the holiday season, with only a slight cutback in the pace of Pricing YoY. During the month-to-date Jan 2023, Volume YoY has continued to maintain its strength while Pricing YoY has decelerated slightly further.

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Forecast Data

​​Odyssey 2 data best lends itself to measuring and modeling POST Consumer Brands segment. We are forecasting strong acceleration in organic sales year-on-year, driven strong acceleration of Volume YoY despite a small deceleration in Pricing YoY.

Ticker POST

SegmentMetricActual 2022 FQ4ODY 23FQ1 Lower Est.ODY 23FQ1 Midpoint Est.ODY 23FQ1 Upper Est.Direction
Consumer BrandsOrganic sales YoY12.6%15.8%16.3%16.8%Accel
Consumer BrandsPricing YoY10.5%9.5%10.0%10.5%Decel
Consumer BrandsVolume YoY2.1%5.8%6.3%6.8%Accel

Post Consumer Brands Segment Organic Sales Chart


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